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TechCloses in 8 monthsmulti outcome

Which lab releases the highest-rated AI model by end of 2026?

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Resting liquidity
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    About this market

    Resolves to the lab whose flagship general-purpose model holds the #1 position on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026. Ties broken by Elo rating.

    All outcomes

    Anthropic

    38¢

    Volume $0

    OpenAI

    30¢

    Volume $0

    Google

    17¢

    Volume $0

    xAI

    Volume $0

    Meta

    Volume $0

    Other

    Volume $0

    How this resolves

    Resolution source

    LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard at 2026-12-31T23:59:59Z

    Resolution criteria

    {
      "at": "2026-12-31T23:59:59Z",
      "feed": "lmsys_arena",
      "metric": "rank_1"
    }