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Ibovespa (^BVSP) closing price Friday (1) 2026-05-15

≥ R$167,00050%chance 0· Closes May 15

Available markets

Click an outcome to trade.

  • ≥ R$167,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$170,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$173,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$176,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$179,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$182,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$185,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$188,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$191,000 — 50¢, volume $0
  • ≥ R$194,000 — 50¢, volume $0
Volume
$50
Open interest
$0
Traders
2
Trades
1

Details

About this market

This market measures the Ibovespa's official closing price on Friday, May 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the closing index value as published by B3 (Brasil, Bolsa, Balcão) at the end of the regular trading session on that date. Granbay markets carry financial risk. Trades may result in loss of funds. Real-money trading is restricted to verified users in eligible regions per applicable regulations.

Resolution

Resolves: May 16, 2026 at 3:00 AM

https://www.b3.com.br/

Order book
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Recent trades
SidePriceSizeWhen
  • YES50¢50.0120d

News pulse

AI
Updated 4m ago

ETF flows ran ~4× new BTC issuance in May with spot demand concentrated in the $98–110K band. Long-term holder supply hit a fresh all-time high, while macro tape stayed quiet — Fed kept its patient-on-cuts framing and Treasury yields drifted lower. Net read: bid is structural, but no near-term catalyst pulls price toward $200K without a vol expansion event.

Market momentum

184 signals · 24h
62
Active
out of 100
Top mover
≥ R$167,000 0
QuietSteadyActive
Composition
  • Trade flow68 · 60%
  • Posts58 · 20%
  • News54 · 20%

Discussion8

Tip: tag a market with $ticker
  • Maya R.@macroflow·14mYES30¢

    ETF inflows ran 4× BTC issuance through May. Even if half of that pace holds into Q4, supply shock alone gets you north of 180K. 200K isn't a stretch — it's a floor.

    47
    • Devin Q.@spotbias·9m

      Flows trail price by ~2 weeks. We could absolutely round-trip the whole year.

      12
    • Maya R.@macroflow·6m

      Sure, but the bid is structurally different now. RIAs aren't fast money.

      18
  • Lena S.@lenas·1h

    Reminder to size positions. Don't go all-in on a binary that resolves in 7 months.

    56
  • Jordan T.@fadetheherd·55mYES32¢

    Everyone in this thread is anchored to the spot price. The question is the right tail probability. Even a 50% chance of one parabolic month gets you there.

    31
  • Rui M.@ondechain·1hYES28¢

    Long-term holder supply at ATH. Coins moved < 1y now < 30% of float. Mechanically bullish.

    38
    • Theo K.@shortvol·1h

      LTH supply was at ATH in Aug 2022 too. Then we tagged 16K.

      11
  • Theo K.@shortvol·28mNO70¢

    30¢ is generous. Half of 2026 left, macro tightening risk underpriced, and we still haven't seen the post-ETF cooling. Sitting on NO.

    23
  • Sasha L.@sashalewis·3hYES26¢

    Bought a small YES at 26¢ last week. Will add on any dip below 25¢.

    19
  • Anjali P.@deltahedger·41m

    What's the implied vol on options expiring Dec 31? If realized < implied, this market is mispriced.

    9
    • kbot@kbot·35m

      Deribit Dec 26 80K-260K straddle at 62 IV last I checked. Tight.

      14
  • kbot@kbot·2h

    Anyone else notice the liquidity at 35¢ and 42¢? Looks like someone's laddering buys.

    7