Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before the end of 2026?
Probability (YES)
55%
Lifetime volume
$80.1K
Resting liquidity
$0
Trades
1
Traders
2
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SidePriceSizeWhen
- YES55¢552d
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About this market
Resolves YES if OpenAI publicly announces a model named 'GPT-6' (or its official successor numeral above '5') and makes it available to API or ChatGPT users on or before December 31, 2026 23:59 PT.
How this resolves
Resolution source
OpenAI public release announcement
Resolution criteria
{
"by": "2026-12-31T23:59:00-08:00",
"name": "gpt-6",
"event": "openai_release"
}