Will the U.S. enter a recession in 2026?
Probability (YES)
50%
Lifetime volume
$40.0K
Resting liquidity
$0
Trades
1
Traders
0
▶Order book · live
Loading order book…
▶Recent trades
SidePriceSizeWhen
- YES50¢308d
Discussion
Sign in to post a comment.
No comments yet. Be the first.
About this market
Resolves YES if the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) declares a U.S. recession that begins in any month of 2026, regardless of when the announcement is made.
How this resolves
Resolution source
NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee announcement
Resolution criteria
{
"event": "nber_recession_start",
"window": [
"2026-01-01",
"2026-12-31"
]
}